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General Category => Altrincham FC First Team => Topic started by: markecky on March 09, 2011, 03:28:08 PM
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The key to the rest of the season is whether Kenny and Bimmo can pick the lads up and keep on with the mentatlity that every game is a one off.
I have looked at the fixtures and done my predictions. Wasn't going to put them on here as they'll be requoted when they are wrong but here is how I see the rest of the season with some reasons as to why.
Newport A – Draw - 1 pt - Battling 0-0....a herculean effort with little flair or fun but a point in Wales against a Newport side on the slide.
FGR – H – Draw - 1 pt - Its a must win must win must win all the way on the forum but its a 1-1 draw after we lead for a long time.
Tamworth H – Win - 3 pts - A 1-0 win against a terrible Tamworth side...Reeves pen late on
Darlington A – Loss - Routine 3-0 defeat against a useful Darlington side (i'll be there by the way)...not a lot of positives
Southport H – draw 1 pt - must win must win must win ends in a draw - 1- 1 and we are counting missed chances once again
Cambridge H – win - 3 pts - 2-0 win over a Cambridge side coasting to the end of the season.
FGR A – loss - 0 pts - lots of big build up to this one but its a 2-0 defeat. Written off again as down.
Fleet – loss - 0 pts an undeserved 1-0 defeat after a good performance. Written off again as really really down
Newport – win - 3 pts 2-1 win over a very unarsed Newport side
Grims – draw - 1 pt great battling point 0-0
Eastbourne - win - 3 pts I have put win here because only a win will do.
Thats 16 pts...and 46 points in total.
I have factored in a few Alty conditions like we'll draw the must wins and lose the big one at FGR.
Rip me to shreds...despite my fragile state today I can take it.
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i shant rip this to shred, because after the last 24 hours ill take anything to give me a bit of cheer
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Ecky....your predicting talent will be laid bare as next to useless as we cruise to a comfortable 3-0 victory at newport...which hughsey misses coz he's still insistent their ground is on the isle of wight.....a hat trick by twiss is celebrated by the whole team lifting their shirts to reveal they've all had a club crest tattoo-ed on their hearts......the ref sends off the entire team for over celebrating in a rare show of common sense but as there's only 5 minutes to go the result stands........
God I've missed doing those daft predictions.
.....also I can well see us losing all the must and should win games and then winning at places like darlo and fleetwood.
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http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_prem/predictor/default.stm (http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_prem/predictor/default.stm) - can find it on the forum - but wasnt there a conference one of these?
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No ripping to shreds required, however I am going for;
Newport - lose
FGR - win
Tamworth - draw
Darlington - lose
Southport - win
Cambridge - draw
FGR - draw
Fleetwood - lose
Newport - draw
Grimsby - lose
Eastbourne - win
I haven't gone for scores because as markecky has pointed out in the past I am sh*t at it.
My predictions total 43 points - GULP!!
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rfUYuIVbFg0 (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rfUYuIVbFg0)
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Having only just got over what I saw last night, I believe we will still do it. It was arguably a more must win for Barrow last night, whose next 3 games are away against teams in the bottom 6, and they haven't won away all season.
Our key period comes after Saturday (though if we play to our abilities,we should get a good result at Newport). 4 out of the next 5 at home to teams in the bottom 9. We need as many people at Moss Lane for all these games (I'm absolutely gutted to be missing Tamworth). We could get 10 points out of those games, which would put us within touching distance of the 45 points that I think will see us safe, though at the moment we would go down on gd if we do.
There will be plenty of ups and downs come April 30th, and hopefully the biggest up will be on that day :)
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Think there will be a lot of shocks before the end of the season.
45 points will be good
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We need to win all our home games, anything picked up away from moss lane is a bonus as far as i a concerned.
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http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_prem/predictor/default.stm (http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_prem/predictor/default.stm) - can find it on the forum - but wasnt there a conference one of these?
it was from a grimsby forum
http://www.thefishy.co.uk/calculator0.php (http://www.thefishy.co.uk/calculator0.php)
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http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_prem/predictor/default.stm (http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/eng_prem/predictor/default.stm) - can find it on the forum - but wasnt there a conference one of these?
it was from a grimsby forum
http://www.thefishy.co.uk/calculator0.php (http://www.thefishy.co.uk/calculator0.php)
for whats it's worth here is my effort:
Southport 48
Cambridge Utd 47
Tamworth 47
Forest Green 45
Altrincham 45
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Barrow 41
Hayes & Yeading 40
Eastbourne Boro 36
Histon 34
optimistic.
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Wow.
Of course it's not impossible, but our arses are going to be squeaking ten to the dozen by the time the agm lady starts to gargle.
Last night was bitterly disappointing, but how many times have you felt like that this season? A game we know we should have a good chance of getting something from, only to be clattered down to earth with the most lack-lustre of displays. Then again, how many times have you been surprised by points stolen from a goody bag that looked way beyond our wildest reach?
Who knows? It's another roller-coaster ride to the end of the season. Who needs mid-table mediocrity (my ulcer wouldn't say No....I've called him Paisley)? White knuckle ride from a distance is no joyous experience either.
There are points left, we have a chance.....I believe, because if I don't I may as well give up and I'm too long in the tooth for that.
COME ON ALTY.
P.S. Ecky if your preds are true, I'll have not seen them beaten this season (and I'm truly hoping those Mariners don't piss on my fish)
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At least we won't have to play in a wind tunnel again this season. I'm not predicting en masse, but I do honestly believe we'll take three points off Southport because they're absolutely sh*te away from Haig Avenue.
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The key to the rest of the season is whether Kenny and Bimmo can pick the lads up and keep on with the mentatlity that every game is a one off.
Ecky,
I understand what you're saying here but I have to disagree somewhat.
We are (still) the lowest scoring team in the league.
The real key to the rest of the season lies in addressing that deficiency successfully.
Unless that aspect of our game improves, we will not escape finishing in one of the relegation spots.
Attacking options comprising a currently out-of-form Reeves; the yet-to-score-a-single-league-goal and futile Beesley and that white elephant (in every sense) Twiss will not keep us up in my opinion.
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Without wishing to draw any mental pictures, I've gone well beyond squeaky bum time, that was about four weeks ago.
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The key to the rest of the season is whether Kenny and Bimmo can pick the lads up and keep on with the mentatlity that every game is a one off.
Ecky,
I understand what you're saying here but I have to disagree somewhat.
We are (still) the lowest scoring team in the league.
The real key to the rest of the season lies in addressing that deficiency successfully.
Unless that aspect of our game improves, we will not escape finishing in one of the relegation spots.
Attacking options comprising a currently out-of-form Reeves; the yet-to-score-a-single-league-goal and futile Beesley and that white elephant (in every sense) Twiss will not keep us up in my opinion.
Yeah, can't argue with that.
I just feel that if Reeves gets one he could go on a run and if we can't get anyone in then we'll have to hope that Clee starts going for goal a bit more and Baynes piledrivers go in.
There is a lot of factors to consider.
The reason I did the exercise was more for me to be honest to see if I genuinely thought we could get anything and who we had left and when.
I think we'll know the answer to if have any kind of chance by the end of the Southport match and hopefully not sooner.
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I still think we'll be battling 'til the final day, only difference is that this time Alty will perform on the final day and get the win that is required against a poor Eastbourne side.
After the first 10 or so games I would have been delighted at still having a chance now and I still see it being 'very Alty' to get results when we shouldn't and not when we should in the run in.. Its what we've been brought up to expect with the super Robins from Moss Lane.
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So 3 points as oppose to 2 - :)
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It's incredible that we still have any sort of chance after that start we had.
That last game could be huge, ironic that it was Eastbourne we beat to get into this league.....
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We're still on track.
It might take 48 points now but I believe we can beat Southport now instead of a draw so that will give us us 49.
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It'll only give us 48 won't it if you've factored in a point for a draw? 2 points extra for the win rather than 3 though.
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Newport A – Draw - 1 pt - Battling 0-0....a herculean effort with little flair or fun but a point in Wales against a Newport side on the slide.
FGR – H – Draw - 1 pt - Its a must win must win must win all the way on the forum but its a 1-1 draw after we lead for a long time.
Tamworth H – Win - 3 pts - A 1-0 win against a terrible Tamworth side...Reeves pen late on
Darlington A – Loss - Routine 3-0 defeat against a useful Darlington side (i'll be there by the way)...not a lot of positives
= 5 points
real total = 9 points :D
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How many points will it take now? 47, 48 ,maybe even 49 or 50 ?
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Tamworth 51
Cambridge Utd 50
Barrow 50
Hayes & Yeading 49
Altrincham 49
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Southport 44
Forest Green 42
Histon 34
Eastbourne Boro 31
I think we will be going into the last game needing a win to stay up.
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Tamworth 51
Cambridge Utd 50
Barrow 50
Hayes & Yeading 49
Altrincham 49
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Southport 44
Forest Green 42
Histon 34
Eastbourne Boro 31
I think we will be going into the last game needing a win to stay up.
where are tamworth going to get their 9 points from?
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Tamworth 51
Cambridge Utd 50
Barrow 50
Hayes & Yeading 49
Altrincham 49
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Southport 44 Forest Green 42
Histon 34
Eastbourne Boro 31
I think we will be going into the last game needing a win to stay up.
There's no way Southport will only get 4 more points, they'll get 3 at home to Eastbourne on Saturday for starters
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Tamworth 51
Cambridge Utd 50
Barrow 50
Hayes & Yeading 49
Altrincham 49
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Southport 44 Forest Green 42
Histon 34
Eastbourne Boro 31
I think we will be going into the last game needing a win to stay up.
There's no way Southport will only get 4 more points, they'll get 3 at home to Eastbourne on Saturday for starters
Where they getting the rest from
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Yes, 7 more points actually. As long as 3 of them aren't at Moss Lane on Tuesday we should be right.
I'm actually not looking at Soutport on the basis they get results at home, more towards Hayes and FGR.
48 points will probably be good enough on goal difference, with ours though we'll have to get up to 49.