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[ManagementGuru]

Full season:

Farsley 45
Vics 43
Halifax 42
-----------
Weymouth 42
Alty 40
Stafford 22
Droylsden 21


Table at 45 games - so before the Weymouth match

Farsley 44
Vics 42
Halifax 41
---------
Weymouth 41
Alty 40


So a win at Weymouth and either Vics fail to beat Cambridge or Halifax fail to beat Stevenage (both Vics and Halifax at home) and we stay up

Or (more scary) a draw at Weymouth and both Vics and Halifax lose would save both Weymouth and Alty.

[Wilmslow Alty]

For what it's worth  I've updated may forecast after this weekend's results. It's bum sqeekingly tight, but we're still above the drop zone in this scenario anyway. Just need Northwich to have a sudden and complete collapse of confidence 


Based on the equally unscientific method of basing results on the previous home/away fixture this season, the final table would look like this:

Halifax 45
Farsley 44
ALTRINCHAM 42
------------------------
Weymouth 40
Northwich 38
Stafford Rangers 22
Droylsden 21

Of the teams we have played twice this season, the result (win/lose/draw) has been the same both home and away over 70% of the time - not a bad predictor then.

The method does fail to account for Northwich's recent upturn in form and Halifax's downturn but it's encouraging that we have already taken points off everyone we are left to play bar Ebbsfleet.

Here's a list of everyone's remaining fixtures, with the predicted result (in points) based on the previous fixture between the two clubs this season:

ALTRINCHAM Burton Albion 1 Salisbury City 1 Ebbsfleet United 0 Weymouth 3	WEYMOUTH Grays Athletic 0 Crawley Town 0 Droylsden 3 Kidderminster 1 Aldershot 0 Altrincham 0	HALIFAX Kidderminster 0 Ebbsfleet United 0 Grays Athletic 1 Burton Albion 1 Aldershot 3 Crawley Town 3 Stevenage 3	FARSLEY Droylsden 3 Oxford Utd 0 Ebbsfleet United 1 Forest Green 1 York 0 Grays Athletic 0
NORTHWICH    Forest Green 0 Exeter 1 Grays Athletic 0 Stevenage 0 Cambridge Utd 0	STAFFORD York 1 Cambridge Utd 0    Crawley Town 1 Exeter 0 Droylsden 1	DROYLSDEN Farsley Celtic 0 Ebbsfleet United 0 Weymouth 0 Histon 0 Woking 1 Stafford Rangers 1

[matnvfcmad]

very tough run indeed at the end for us but confidence is high

[altyf]

very tough run indeed at the end for us but confidence is high

It pains me to say it but you'll beat Grays and Forest Green and pick up an unlikely point elsewhere.

Farsley's run in surely has to be the best, which makes that win at Torquay even more disastrous.

[James Black]

Management guru your wrong we will not be saved if things turn out the worst possible way if we draw against weymouth with your 45 game table we go down hailifax have better GD

[Ballers]

I have to say, I don't think Vics will take 1 point from their last 5 games to be honest.

[Longman]

I have to say, I don't think Vics will take 1 point from their last 5 games to be honest.

I think they'll take quite a few the way they are playing!

[Wilmslow Alty]

I have to say, I don't think Vics will take 1 point from their last 5 games to be honest.

Like I say, that's very wishful thinking but it is how they fared earlier on in the season against those teams when they were crap. Just shows what a turnaround they've had.