www.altyfans.co.uk

Quote from: Bath Alty on November 25, 2019, 01:03:46 PM

Odds of 7 away draws on the trot is 1 in 128

Is it not still 50/50 because each draw is independent. Much like 7 tails in a row with a clip flip? Either way we are due a home draw in the cup after we win on Saturday  

It depends on how you ask the question.

Each draw is a unique event, has no memory and isn’t particularly arsed about history so as the ball is drawn from the bag (or a coin is tossed) the chance of getting home or away (or heads or tails) is the same. 50:50. Each time.

However you instinctively feel that tossing a coin 8 times and it coming up heads each time is quite rare.
Now feel free to check my maths* (never my strongest subject).

If you look at the problem as a single range of sequences (or ask what are the chances of not getting a single home tie over 8 draws), then the answer is 1:256*
Over 8 draws there are a total of 256* combinations:
AAAAAAAA
AHAHAHAH
HAAHAAHA
Etc
The chances of getting any of those 256* combinations is equal too - you have to have one of them.
But only one of those 256* combinations contains no home ties at all- the other 255* contain at least one home tie!

*my working out (for extra marks): combinations double with each draw. draw 1: 2 combinations, draw 2: 4 combinations, draw 3: 8 combinations etc.
** 8 draws: 5 FAC, 2 FAT, 1 CSC

Toby chatted with Mr Flynn after scoring his first goal for the robins:
https://youtu.be/ifIefTK4s7Q

Flynny's interview with Jordan can be found here:
https://youtu.be/zSAJFqGarfI

Quote from: Bath Alty on November 10, 2019, 05:43:57 PM

even the 5:15 show had 3 clips - them hitting the bar, the pen and our goal.  Chat was all about York

Absolute rubbish from the BBC - I was prepared to accept minimalism while the game was live, but the later show was a disgrace. We've just punched above our weight, and ended a 19 match unbeaten run by an unarguably bigger club, yet more coverage is given to Gateshead and Chippenham who produced lesser results.

I now have a dilemma - I've missed all three away games in this cup run. If we're on our travels again in Round 2, do I stay away again on superstitious grounds ? Home draw please - Chichester or Kingstonian please !

To be fair to the BBC, they're not exactly on the same level as Alty TV .
Seriously though, and from a journalistic angle, their early round coverage is all about giant killing - non-league team beats league team - so an all National League North tie is lower in their agenda. A good draw next round and they'll be all over us. At the end of the day they gave us £12K+(https://www.altrinchamfc.com/news/york-city-v-altrincham-selected-for-bbc-emirates-f-a-cup-live-highlights-programme) for that so that's about £4K a clip!!

Highlights now on YouTube:
https://youtu.be/ecbSsy2Ourk

Highlights now on YouTube:
https://youtu.be/8kVApjjrC1s

Highlights now up:
https://youtu.be/v_M6FLhp7n4